Binomial Basketball
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Chris Paul's Legendary Playmaking Career
Bayesian hierarchical modeling of playmaking highlights how consistently Chris Paul stands out as a playmaker
May 2
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Binomial Basketball
15
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Bayesian NBA Playmaking Modeling
Modeling the balance between risk taking and playmaking
Mar 21
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6
2
Bayesian Modeling of Hustle in the NBA
Quantifying effort
Mar 7
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24
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Modeling True Shooting Ability
Modeling raw shooting talent
Feb 28
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10
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Comprehensive NBA 3PT Modeling
Extending our FT modeling to 3PT shooting
Feb 21
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6
2
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NBA Bayesian Score Predictions - 2026.02.19
Full posterior distributions for Thursday's NBA games
Feb 16
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The NBA's 3-point Variance Lie
Does shooting more 3's increase your variance?
Feb 14
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26
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NBA Bayesian Score Predictions
Posterior distributions on NBA game outcomes
Feb 9
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7
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Comprehensive NBA Free Throw Modeling
Enough predictors to tighten up the posterior distributions
Feb 7
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13
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Free Throw Shooting by Position
Refining our free throw modeling
Feb 1
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4
5
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NBA Free Throw Modeling
A hierarchical binomial model of 2025-26 free throw shooting
Jan 31
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Predicting Basketball Winners After Watching the First Half
If you were trying to predict the winner of an NBA game, would you rather know the score at halftime, or which teams are playing?
Apr 21, 2024
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Binomial Basketball
Predicting NBA scores and statistics with Bayesian models
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