Pretty interesting. Have you ever compared your model's odds (e.g., probability score for classification model), and compared it to the equivalent outcome on a prediction model? For instance, if your probability for a 1 was .68, but a liquid prediction market priced it at .60?
Pretty interesting. Have you ever compared your model's odds (e.g., probability score for classification model), and compared it to the equivalent outcome on a prediction model? For instance, if your probability for a 1 was .68, but a liquid prediction market priced it at .60?
very interesting article, thank you for that.
wanna check out my latest?
https://fgpsports.substack.com/p/breaking-news-nba-superstar-jayson