Archive - Binomial Basketball

Predicting Basketball Winners After Watching the First Half

If you were trying to predict the winner of an NBA game, would you rather know the score at halftime, or which teams are playing?

Apr 21, 2024 •

Binomial Basketball

March 2024

February 2024

Predicting NBA Scores Part 2

Improving our model's priors

Feb 26, 2024 •

Binomial Basketball

Predicting NBA Scores Part 1

Our baseline model

Feb 24, 2024 •

Binomial Basketball

Player Improvement Modeling

Midway through the season: who is actually improving?

Feb 15, 2024 •

Binomial Basketball

Probability of NBA overtime over the years

What's the chance tonight's game goes into overtime?

Feb 13, 2024 •

Binomial Basketball

February 2022

Reworking NBA.com's "Percentile" Column

Putting confidence intervals on an overconfident metric

Feb 24, 2022 •

Binomial Basketball

Player Consistency Modeling

A league-wide survey

Feb 23, 2022 •

Binomial Basketball

Predicting Sensational Stats, pt 3

Taking a closer look at player consistency.

Feb 20, 2022 •

Binomial Basketball

How I manage hundreds of NBA models

MLFlow, Stan, git

Feb 16, 2022 •

Binomial Basketball

The Evolution of NBA Shot Selection

When did centers start shooting threes?

Feb 14, 2022 •

Binomial Basketball

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